Hurry Up and Wait
With these unprecedented rates of projected growth, many major industries are confronting the reality of addressing their energy needs in light of highly constrained grid capacity. Those factors are cascading to other issues, such as extraordinarily long queues for approvals of grid interconnection applications and stresses in supply chains for critical electrical gear, components and equipment.
As of 2024, the interconnection approval queue for every regional transmission authority averaged eight times longer than in 2014. Lead times of 38 months are common in certain regions, while eight-year waits are now being seen in other, more congested regions.
Constructing transmission infrastructure is often at the heart of these extraordinary waiting periods. In 2024, U.S. investor-owned utilities reported a $92 billion backlog of transmission projects. More significantly, meeting all the requests currently in the interconnection approval queues would require approximately twice the transmission capacity currently available.
Further complicating lead times are extensive supply chain bottlenecks for essential transmission and substation equipment. Lead times for high-voltage transformers, breakers and switchgear needed in substations can be up to seven years.
This yields a significant problem for developers of new large-load facilities, as financial backers and others with vested interests clamor to begin operations and earn revenue as soon as possible.