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This quarterly spotlight provides an in-depth analysis of current trends, capital spend and industry outlook.
Data centers, power and public works projects carry industry activity.
Input prices eased in the spring but remained more than 7% higher over last year.
Six priorities define the new workforce playbook.
Matt Ralston
General Manager
Construction
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Construction's Widening Divide
Construction Outlook
Labor Priorities Intensify
Costs Moderate but Geopolitical Tensions and Tariffs Persist
September Decisions
The Construction Workforce Playbook is Changing: Now What?
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Coming Together for a Solution to Construction’s Defining Challenge
The last few years in the construction industry have brought a litany of headwinds: inflation, material price volatility, supply chain disruptions, tariffs and interest rate uncertainty.
While these headwinds have fluctuated in intensity, it can be argued that one constant — the availability of skilled craft labor — remains the largest constraint on progress in our industry.
Design-build/EPC contractors and trade organizations have long been investing in the recruitment, training and development of the craft workforce, building programs and partnerships designed to prepare people for successful construction careers. Now, major project owners, particularly in the data center market, are investing directly in workforce development, partnering with organizations that already have the infrastructure to recruit, train and prepare craft professionals for the jobsite.
This movement acknowledges an age-old reality: Projects cannot move forward without the people who build them.
Tomorrow's workforce will have different expectations, learn through different methods and leverage technology in ways previous generations never imagined. Meeting those workers where they are, while preserving the craftsmanship and mentorship that define construction, will determine the path forward for delivering increasingly complex projects and meeting customer demand.
Read our story in this quarter’s Construction Market Update to learn how the construction workforce of tomorrow is taking shape.
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Matt
107K
Deficit in electricians by 2027
$162M
From Department of Labor to expand apprenticeships
20%+
Of construction workforce is older than 55
As construction demand remains concentrated in data centers, power infrastructure and public works, conventional private nonresidential markets continue to soften. In the most active regions, the rapid build-out of digital and energy infrastructure is intensifying competition for electrical, mechanical and other specialized trades, resulting in a major paradigm shift in workforce development. To secure critical project schedules, major data center firms are taking direct action by investing heavily in targeted trades training and capacity-building programs. These workforce interventions are taking place against a backdrop of ongoing macroeconomic pressures, with volatile material costs, persistent supply-chain disruptions, federal interest rate discussions and shifting tariff structures increasing financial complexity across the construction industry.
Source: Industrial Info Resources
The construction market entered the third quarter showing a widening divide of activity between sectors with the U.S. Census Bureau reporting private nonresidential construction spending growth of 0.1% in June. This report ended seven consecutive months of decline and was down 4.7% year over year. However, from a broader view when excluding data centers, private nonresidential spending fell 7.9% over the year. Spending on data centers has exploded, growing 46% over the year.
That divergence is visible across sectors. Manufacturing, commercial and healthcare spending all declined year over year as several semiconductor, battery and advanced manufacturing programs moved past peak activity and conventional private development remained cautious. Power was one of the bright spots with growth in several private categories, while public works continues to advance with transportation, highways, healthcare and conservation projects.
The forward pipeline looks encouraging, though the same concentration applies. The Dodge Construction Network reported that nonresidential construction starts in July exploded after a steep pullback in June, bringing year-over-year growth up to 14.8% as data centers, power and public works projects continued to carry industry activity. The Dodge Momentum Index, a leading indicator for commercial and institutional construction 12 to 18 months out, grew 6.9% in July, driven primarily by a rebound in data center planning and broader momentum across institutional sectors. Since July 2025 the index has grown 11.7%, with the commercial index up 13.8% and the institutional index up 7.6% over the year. However, when removing data centers, the commercial segment would have declined 16.2% for the same period.
Contractor sentiment reflects a similar divide. Firms with data center exposure report strong backlogs while those without navigate a more difficult environment. The Associated Builders and Contractors' (ABC) Construction Confidence Indicator fell sharply in July but is notably stronger from respondents with data center work who typically have much larger backlogs than those without. FMI’s Nonresidential Construction Index has remained steady and in expansion territory this year, leveling out after a slight softening in the second quarter. Both surveys continue to find that material and labor costs weigh on sentiment the most while backlog and sales expectations remain strong. Scale and sector are increasingly determining which market a contractor is effectively operating in and the experiences of those two groups are moving further apart.
The market divide is showing up in the labor market as well. Data centers require dense concentrations of electricians, pipefitters, HVAC technicians and other specialized trades that are in short supply.
These trades are simultaneously stretched thin by retirements.
Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that more than one-fifth of the construction workforce is now 55 or older. Apprenticeship participation has risen sharply, but training pipelines still cannot add experienced craft workers at the speed demanded by concurrent megaprojects.
Industrial Info Resources (IIR) expects the imbalance to peak in 2027, including a deficit of roughly 107,000 electricians, a shortage larger than the total labor pool. Because electrical labor is essential to data centers, power, manufacturing and other industrial projects, this large‑scale shortage is constraining project schedules and driving competition for labor.
Wage data reflects how competitive the market for these trades has become. Average hourly wages for construction workers rose 5.2% over the past year, faster than the 3.2% increase across the broader private sector (BLS). But averages understate what is happening at the trades level. Workers with data center skills are seeing substantial raises of 25% to 30% when moving into those roles, according to staffing firm Kelly Services. Indeed reports the average hourly pay for installation workers for data centers was 42% higher than the occupation average.
Contractors are responding by treating skilled labor as a long-term asset rather than a variable cost. Many are retaining core crews and specialized trades through short project gaps to protect future schedules. A survey from the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) found over 92% of construction firms reported having a hard time filling open positions in 2025. The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data shows this mismatch; construction job openings rose sharply in the last year while hiring levels fell substantially, and layoff rates remained low for the industry. With job openings rising and hiring levels declining, holding on to experienced workers has become as operationally important as recruiting new ones.
North America's Building Trades Unions attributes the severity of the shortage less to an absolute lack of workers than to a persistent failure of workforce planning. Developers have routinely waited until mobilization to identify labor needs, leaving insufficient time to expand apprenticeship capacity or draw from adjacent labor markets. The current constraint is in part a consequence of years of short-cycle planning decisions on long-cycle construction programs.
That recognition is now driving direct private investment in workforce development: The companies building data centers are funding the workers to build them. Google committed $50 million to train more than 300,000 skilled-trades workers across the U.S. Meta launched America's Workforce Academy with $115 million, offering free training and guaranteed jobs in data center construction. BlackRock directed $100 million toward craft worker training over five years. Micron partnered with building trades unions in New York to develop the labor force for a planned $100 billion semiconductor campus. The scale of these commitments reflects how central labor availability has become to digital infrastructure project delivery.
Federal investment is reinforcing the same priority. In July, the U.S. Department of Labor awarded nearly $162 million to expand registered apprenticeships in artificial intelligence infrastructure, manufacturing, shipbuilding and other high-growth sectors. Public programs can broaden the pipeline, but the private investments reveal the urgency. Companies are helping train the people who will build their own growth.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Construction input prices, reflected in the BLS Producer Price Index, remained flat in July after easing by 1.1% in June, but increased 7.4% above a year earlier. Much of the June relief was from declining oil prices, which continue to swing rapidly as the conflict in Iran and progress toward a resolution have fluctuated and proven difficult to predict. While prices for oil eased, those for other major inputs such as steel and copper products continue to grow rapidly.
That mix favors some projects more than others. As detailed in the Q2 2026 Construction Market Update, data centers, power facilities and advanced manufacturing remain heavily exposed to electrical equipment, fabricated metals and copper-intensive systems. The sectors driving demand are also competing hardest for materials with persistent price and lead-time risk.
Tariffs remain a separate and ongoing source of procurement uncertainty and are driving price pressures. After the Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not authorize the administration's broad tariffs, the administration shifted toward Section 122 and Section 301 measures, while Section 232 tariffs continued on steel, aluminum, copper and certain derivative products (CNBC). For construction, the practical implication is that exposure has not materially changed even as the legal basis has. Projects with long procurement schedules, complete designs or fixed-price commitments made before equipment buyout remain vulnerable to repricing, country-of-origin changes and policy adjustments.
Two decisions this fall will shape whether the construction market’s widening divide stabilizes or deepens heading into 2027.
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.50% to 3.75% on July 29, but three of 12 board members voted for an increase. This is an unusually high level of dissent that keeps upward rate risk visible heading into September. The next decision will depend on incoming inflation, employment and other economic indicators. A rate increase would add further friction for owners financing conventional private projects, where margins are already compressed and the capacity to absorb cost escalation is limited. Even without a hike, current borrowing costs are constraining underwriting and reducing project returns across much of the private, nonresidential market.
The second deadline is legislative. Congress has until Sept. 30 to reauthorize federal transportation programs previously funded by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA). The House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee advanced the bipartisan, five-year BUILD America 250 Act in May, but full congressional approval is still required. While the deadline does not affect previously obligated IIJA funding or projects already underway, a multiyear authorization would provide greater visibility for hiring, equipment investment and upcoming bid opportunities, while a temporary extension could delay major funding decisions and disrupt planning (Construction Dive).
You can’t go a day without hearing about how artificial intelligence is automating white-collar jobs. But the physical world still runs on blue-collar labor. The growth of high-tech industries, from massive data centers to advanced manufacturing plants, ultimately depends on the people holding the tools and constructing the facilities.
A lack of skilled craft professionals remains one of the biggest bottlenecks facing industrial capital projects. Getting a project built on time, under budget or even started at all depends on having skilled labor on-site when needed.
As they have been for years, the numbers are stark. The construction industry creates nearly $2.1 trillion worth of structures each year and employs roughly 8 million people nationwide. Yet workforce shortages remain widespread. According to Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC), over 450,000 net-new workers will be needed annually over the next few years just to keep construction supply and demand in place.
The industry has fought this battle for years. Seasoned skilled labor are retiring in large numbers, taking practical, hard-won knowledge with them just as the demand for more data centers, public works, power and infrastructure projects is exploding. With retirements significantly outpacing apprenticeship completions, the trades workforce deficit will continue to grow.
More noteworthy than the shortage itself are the people and organizations working now to help address the issue. Project owners increasingly view labor availability as a strategic risk to their capital programs and are investing directly in workforce development. With business growth often tied to projects being completed on time, major technology companies are making significant investments in developing the craft workforce needed to support the industry’s expansion.
Meta, for example, launched its $115 million America’s Workforce Academy in states including Louisiana, Ohio, Indiana and Texas. Beginning in November, its accelerated four-week program will provide free training, housing, travel support and guaranteed jobs. Google is committing $50 million to unions and trade associations to help train more than 300,000 skilled-trades workers in the U.S. Companies like Micron, BlackRock and others are launching similar initiatives.
These companies bring three things the construction industry needs: capital, tech-enabled learning and global platforms to raise career awareness. By joining forces with established groups like ABC, they can tap ready-to-use facilities and seasoned instructors. In Houston, for example, ABC reaches upward of 10,000 trainees a year, including prospective craft professionals at 60 high schools in 23 districts.
This investment comes as contractors already face volatile material prices, supply chain instability, interest rate uncertainty and shifting economic policies. Instead of competing only for the existing pool of workers, forward-looking owners wanting to ease some of the project-delivery hardship are helping build a bigger pool. Their goal is to create more entry points into construction, establishing foundational skills and accelerating jobsite readiness.
Contractors across the industry likewise are expanding their own workforce-development infrastructure. The Burns & McDonnell Construction Academy, for example, complements these broader industry efforts by providing hands-on training, skills assessments and career exploration opportunities that help connect interested candidates with construction careers and prepare them for jobsite demands. During its first year, the Construction Academy delivered 14,245 training experiences through permanent facilities and mobile units on jobsites across the U.S.
Beyond the training numbers, the real story is the model that drives them. The Construction Academy is designed to support the full talent pipeline, from introducing people to construction careers to helping experienced craft professionals strengthen skills and pursue advancement opportunities. Its combination of classroom instruction, hands-on learning environments and mobile training units illustrates how focused workforce development can attract people to the industry while creating pathways for long-term career growth.
Why does any of this matter? Construction is a massive economic multiplier, with every dollar spent generating three times that in total economic activity, according to ABC. When construction capacity falters, the effects reach far beyond jobsites to affect the economy.
As project owners invest in the workforce alongside traditional training, programs like the Construction Academy demonstrate how extended specialized training and foundational owner-funded pathways can work together. This collaborative approach shortens the ramp-up period for new workers and complements long-term craft development, helping professionals build lasting careers across the construction spectrum.
Apprenticeships, on-the-job training and long-term craft development aren’t going anywhere and will continue to provide the depth needed to build lasting careers. Programs like the Construction Academy help by giving prospective craft professionals opportunities to explore careers, assess their readiness and develop practical skills before stepping onto a jobsite. Those early experiences can serve as a foundation for continued growth through focused training, field experience and leadership development.
Owner-funded training program pathways, on the other hand, can shorten the ramp-up period for new workers while creating a foundation for continued specialized growth. Together, both forms of training will help expand the workforce pipeline and prepare craft professionals for careers in energy, manufacturing, transmission, water and infrastructure.
What begins as a workforce solution for a few companies can strengthen the entire industry, creating a workforce development playbook built around six priorities.
While craft labor shortage attention from project owners is a great start, long-term success for contractors and clients alike depends on building a larger, more adaptable workforce.
The industry is beginning to match years of discussion about labor shortages with scalable action through owner investment, broader partnerships and complementary training models. Companies that treat workforce development as a long-term business strategy rather than a short-term hiring fix will be better positioned to deliver capital programs amid construction’s rising demand.
The opportunity goes beyond filling openings. Through people and partnership investments, owners, contractors and educators can use the new workforce playbook to help determine whether the labor shortage will ever be resolved or remains the defining industry challenge of our time.
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